Surge in New Altcoins Could End Era of Altcoin Seasons in Crypto Market

Bitcoin

Cryptocurrency analysts and traders are raising questions about the future of altcoin seasons—periods when alternative cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin. Historically, these seasons have been marked by significant price gains across non-Bitcoin assets. However, the rapidly growing number of altcoins could spell the end of this trend.

Oversupply Threatens Future Alt Seasons

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez stated that the market’s dynamics have changed, highlighting the sheer number of altcoins now in existence while citing data from Dune Analytics,

“Today, there are over 36.4 million altcoins, compared to fewer than 3,000 during the 2017-2018 alt season and even fewer than 500 altcoins in 2013-2014,” Martinez posted on X.

Economist Alex Krüger echoed this view, emphasizing how the oversupply of tokens dilutes market performance. “Too many tokens. Infinite more to come. Supply of tokens is greater than demand,” Krüger wrote on X. He believes future alt seasons will be much shorter, lasting only “a few days to a few weeks at most.”

The proliferation of low-quality tokens, including memecoins, has further diluted the altcoin market. Pseudonymous trader Ash Crypto criticized exchanges for listing memecoins to drive trading volume, saying, “Retail buys these memes and [is] down 80% in a week and then quit.”

Krüger also noted the difficulty of managing a portfolio in such a crowded market. “Being a good coin picker is now very hard. Just as being a good stocks picker is also very hard,” he said.

The Battle for Survival Among Altcoins

Amidst the ongoing oversupply in the  altcoin market, Bitcoin has managed to fortify its position. The market cap of Bitcoin has surged by 114% since 2021, and currently stands at $2.07 trillion. However, the total altcoin market cap is trailng behind at $1.6 trillion, which is below its peak of $1.9 trillion.

According to Ki Young Ju of CryptoQuant, only a handful of altcoins are destined to survive due to their solid use cases. He stressed the importance of having an actual utility in the altcoin market when he said, “Only a fraction of altcoins will stand the test of time.”

Optimism for Utility-Focused Altcoins

A group of analysts remain optimistic about alt coins. Michaël van de Poppe expects that projects with real industry usage will gain institutional investment interest. He thinks Ethereum will spearhead the next rally, calling it “the most hated rally of 2025”.

Van de Poppe added, “I think that as the institutional interest goes up, altcoins with real utility will start getting the attention they deserve.”

 While some officials think that the alt coin season is dead, others are still bullish for the projects that can deliver actual value. With the evolution of the market, both investors and projects have to learn how to pivot in order to survive these changes.

Disclaimer
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and reflects the author’s opinion. It should not be construed as financial, legal, or investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is volatile and carries risks. Please conduct your own research before making any decisions.

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